Yuta Kawahashi vs Chase Ferguson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Chase Ferguson has a slight edge, winning 43.65% of points on his second serve compared to Yuta Kawahashi's 40.37%. Could this impact the match outcome? It's a possibility.
• Return Game Strength: Yuta Kawahashi appears to have better return stats, claiming 46.37% of opponents' second serve points, while Chase Ferguson trails at 40.51%. How pivotal will returns be in deciding the match? It seems quite significant.
• First Serve Return: Both players are evenly matched in returning first serves, with Kawahashi at 27.94% and Ferguson at 27.86%.
• Pressure Handling: When saving breakpoints, Ferguson slightly outperforms Kawahashi, with 53.16% compared to 52.67%.
• Match Performance: Ferguson edges slightly in overall match performance over the past year with a 63.16% win rate, while Kawahashi sits at 62.71%.
• Surface Preference: On clay, Kawahashi excels with a career win rate of 68%, whereas Ferguson thrives on indoor hard courts with the same win percentage.
• Competition Level: Recently, both players have competed mostly at the $10K Futures/ITF level, with Kawahashi winning 66.07% of these matches versus Ferguson's 63.16%.
• Opponent Quality: Kawahashi has faced tougher opponents, with the average opponent rank being 293.68, compared to Ferguson's 405.56.
• Deciding Sets: Ferguson is significantly better in deciding sets, boasting a win rate of 76% over the past year, compared to Kawahashi's 42%.
• Break Point Conversion: Ferguson also possesses a slight advantage in converting break points, with a 33.33% success rate versus Kawahashi's 32.46%.

Editorial Prediction (November 22, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Yuta Kawahashi and Chase Ferguson is shaping up to be a close contest. With Ferguson demonstrating a slightly stronger second serve performance and better break point conversion, he seems to have a minor edge in these critical areas.

On the other hand, Kawahashi's ability to return serves effectively and his experience against more highly-ranked opponents contribute to his competitive standing.

With both players displaying comparable results at the $10K Futures/ITF level, the ultimate decision may hinge on subtle factors like return game proficiency and psychological resilience in deciding sets.

Considering recent trends and performance patterns, Chase Ferguson seems slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this encounter.